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​Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Fall as Hot Jobs Report Fuels Fed Rate-Hike Bets

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U.S. stocks slipped on Friday as a surprisingly strong August jobs report renewed expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates this month. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell about 0.5%, while the S&P 500 declined 0.3% and the Nasdaq Composite dipped roughly 0.2%.

The pullback followed the market’s best session in nearly a month, with investors now confronting a hotter labor market alongside persistent inflation pressures. The U.S. added 162,000 jobs in August, nearly triple expectations for 55,000, pushing Treasury yields and rate-hike expectations higher, while escalating U.S.-Iran tensions kept energy prices another source of concern.

Market Movers:

Blowout Jobs Report Revives Fed Rate-Hike Fears

Friday’s August employment report delivered a major surprise, with the U.S. economy adding 162,000 jobs compared with expectations for just 55,000. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.1%, while average hourly earnings increased 0.3%. The strong reading challenged the weaker labor signals investors received earlier this week. Markets responded by pushing the probability of a September Fed rate hike to roughly 60%, up from around 50% a day earlier, while the 10-year Treasury yield climbed toward 4.77%.

Oil and Iran Keep Inflation Risks Elevated

Geopolitical tensions added another source of uncertainty as the U.S.-Iran conflict continues to disrupt energy markets. Oil and fuel prices remain elevated amid restricted flows through the Strait of Hormuz, while disruptions involving Russian energy supplies have tightened conditions further. U.S. retail diesel prices have climbed to record levels, adding potential pressure across transportation, agriculture, and other energy-intensive industries. For the Fed, persistent energy inflation combined with stronger-than-expected employment could make the case for keeping monetary policy restrictive even harder to ignore.

Earnings Put Consumer and Software Stocks in Focus

Friday’s corporate moves also highlighted a growing divide beneath the broader market. Samsara and DocuSign benefited from stronger results and optimism surrounding AI-driven growth, while Lululemon’s sharp decline showed how quickly investors are punishing companies facing deteriorating consumer demand. That selectivity could become increasingly important as earnings season winds down. With valuations elevated and interest rates back in focus, companies may need stronger growth and clearer guidance to overcome the pressure from higher yields.

Looking Ahead

The August jobs report significantly raises the stakes for the Fed’s September 16-17 meeting. Investors will now scrutinize upcoming inflation data for evidence that price pressures are cooling enough to keep policymakers on hold despite the unexpectedly strong labor market. For stocks, the combination of resilient employment, elevated energy prices, and rising Treasury yields creates a tougher backdrop heading deeper into September. Strong economic growth can support corporate earnings, but if that strength keeps the Fed in tightening mode, Wall Street may have to contend with higher rates for longer than investors hoped.

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