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​Stock Market Today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq Rebound As Middle East Talks Lift Sentiment

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US stocks clawed back losses on Thursday, with all three major indexes turning higher as easing geopolitical tensions helped steady investor nerves. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose roughly 0.5%, while the S&P 500 added about 0.5% and the Nasdaq Composite climbed more than 0.5%, reversing earlier declines.

The rebound comes just one day after a massive rally, with markets continuing to react sharply to developments in the Middle East. Investors appear increasingly sensitive to any signs of stabilization, particularly as negotiations involving Israel, Lebanon, and Iran shape expectations for energy markets and global growth.

Market Movers:

Geopolitical Developments Drive Market Direction

Markets turned higher after Israel signaled willingness to enter direct talks with Lebanon, a move seen as reinforcing the fragile ceasefire framework involving Iran. The shift helped calm fears that escalating regional tensions could derail recent progress toward stabilizing global energy flows. However, uncertainty remains elevated. The ceasefire agreement hinges on multiple moving parts, including the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and broader regional compliance, leaving investors highly reactive to headline risk.

Oil Prices Rebound As Supply Concerns Linger

Crude prices moved higher again after an initial plunge earlier in the week, reflecting ongoing concerns about supply disruptions. West Texas Intermediate crude jumped toward $100 per barrel, while Brent crude climbed back into the mid-$90s. Despite the ceasefire, analysts warn that restoring full production and shipping capacity could take months. That lingering uncertainty is keeping a floor under oil prices and complicating the inflation outlook.

Economic Signals Paint A Mixed Picture

Fresh economic data added another layer of complexity for investors. Initial jobless claims came in higher than expected, suggesting some softening in the labor market, while continuing claims declined, indicating resilience beneath the surface. At the same time, recent inflation data showed price pressures holding steady, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve may remain cautious on rate cuts. Housing data also hinted at renewed weakness, with contract signings slipping as higher mortgage rates weigh on demand.

Looking Ahead

Markets remain tightly tethered to geopolitical headlines, with any progress or setbacks in Middle East negotiations likely to drive near-term direction. Investors will also be watching closely for signs that energy markets are stabilizing, as oil volatility continues to ripple across asset classes. Beyond geopolitics, attention is shifting back to fundamentals. Upcoming inflation data, corporate earnings, and Federal Reserve commentary will be critical in determining whether this rebound has staying power or if volatility is set to return.

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