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Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Nasdaq Slip as AI Stocks Tumble and 10-Year Yield Hits 5%

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U.S. stocks fell on Monday as a strong selloff in AI and semiconductor stocks collided with rising oil prices and another jump in Treasury yields. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite were each down about 0.2% by midday after paring steeper losses, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average hovered near the flatline.

Technology was the clear pressure point after warnings from some of the AI industry’s most prominent executives rattled a trade built around rapid advances in increasingly powerful models. At the same time, Brent crude traded near $107 per barrel, and the 10-year Treasury yield briefly breached 5%, giving investors plenty to worry about ahead of Wednesday’s Federal Reserve decision.

Market Movers:

AI Warning Shakes Wall Street’s Biggest Trade

AI stocks came under unusually broad pressure after Amodei argued that developers need to slow advances in increasingly capable models so safety measures have time to catch up. Altman subsequently agreed that the industry needs to more carefully pace frontier development, putting two of the leading AI companies behind a more cautious approach.

The comments struck directly at one of Wall Street’s central assumptions: that increasingly powerful models will require a relentless expansion of GPUs, memory, networking equipment and data-center capacity. Nvidia fell 3%, while several semiconductor and infrastructure names suffered even steeper declines.

Oil Near $107 Keeps Inflation Fears Alive

Technology wasn’t the market’s only problem. Brent crude traded near $107 per barrel after Saudi Arabia shut down a key pipeline as the Middle East conflict continued to disrupt energy supplies. Those energy pressures have complicated the Fed’s inflation fight just days before its September meeting. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly crossed 5% Monday for the first time since 2023, while the 30-year yield remained elevated near 5.4%.

Fed Decision In Focus

Wednesday’s Fed decision now represents the next major test for markets. Following Friday’s sticky inflation report and the continued surge in energy prices, traders are pricing roughly an 88% probability of another rate hike. That combination of higher rates and uncertainty surrounding AI growth is particularly uncomfortable for technology stocks. Elevated Treasury yields pressure valuations at the same time investors are reconsidering some of the aggressive growth assumptions underpinning the AI trade.

Looking Ahead

Wall Street enters the Fed meeting with two of its biggest recent concerns intensifying simultaneously: inflation and uncertainty around AI. Investors will be watching Wednesday’s decision for clues about whether another rate increase represents a one-off response to sticky prices or the beginning of a more sustained tightening cycle.

AI stocks face their own test. Monday’s selloff shows just how dependent valuations have become on expectations for rapid model development and infrastructure spending, making any further signals from the industry’s leading labs potentially significant for Nvidia and the broader semiconductor trade.

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