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Stock Market Today: Stocks Rise Ahead of Inflation Data

Stock Market Today: Stocks Rise Ahead of Inflation Data cover

​U.S. stocks moved mostly higher on Monday as investors focused on upcoming inflation reports, which will provide a clear picture of the economic outlook and the potential for a significant interest-rate cut in September. The S&P 500 (GSPC) rose 0.2%, adding 13 points, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) climbed 0.6%. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) remained largely unchanged, reflecting a mix of gains in the tech sector and losses in the industrial sector.

The market’s cautious optimism comes after a weak August jobs report and other soft labor market data, which have fueled speculation about the Federal Reserve’s next moves. Traders are closely watching the Producer Price Index (PPI) set to be released on Wednesday and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Thursday.

​Market Movers:

Inflation Data and Economic Outlook

The market’s attention is focused on inflation this week. Investors hope that the PPI and CPI readings will clarify the trajectory of prices across goods and services, influencing whether the Federal Reserve adjusts its interest rate strategy. Soft labor market indicators from last week have raised expectations that the Fed may consider more aggressive rate cuts to support growth.

Economists are also monitoring the broader economic implications of slowing job growth and rising unemployment claims. If inflation remains subdued while labor data weakens, it could reinforce expectations for a softer policy approach, potentially fueling further gains in equities.

Sector Rotation and Investor Sentiment

Tech stocks have led gains so far, boosted by optimism in AI and cloud computing. Conversely, industrials and consumer discretionary stocks have shown more mixed performance as investors digest ongoing supply chain and cost concerns. Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with traders balancing hopes for rate cuts against the risk of persistent inflation pressures.

Looking Ahead

Investors will be watching the PPI on Wednesday and CPI on Thursday for guidance on the inflation outlook. Any surprises in these reports could trigger swift moves across equities, bonds, and interest-rate-sensitive sectors. Analysts note that September historically brings volatility, and market participants will be weighing both the macroeconomic signals and company-specific earnings as the month progresses.

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